popular vote 2016 vs 2020
Right Direction/Wrong Track. Itâs changing around our political parties and re-forming our understanding of the country. They have elected a woman â a woman of color, no less â on a nationwide ticket for the first time ever, and Democrats may yet gain a slim majority in the US Senate. 1/3. It was the largest state in which she did not lose counties Barack Obama won in 2012. Pennsylvania’s Secretary of State said the majority of mail-in ballots would likely be counted by the end of Thursday. More than 74 million people cast votes for Biden and more than 70 million cast votes for Trump. Click on the counties below to see how Trump and Joe Biden's 2020 performance compares with the 2016 vote. Recent Elections Quick View: Use the slider to view the statewide popular vote winner from 1980 through 2016. The candidate who got more votes is on pace to win this election, which didnât happen in 2016. Importantly, those gains in suburban counties extended even into states that Trump ultimately won, such as Ohio and Florida, which is something for both parties to consider in the future. By David Wasserman, Sophie Andrews, Leo Saenger, Lev Cohen, Ally Flinn, and Griff Tatarsky. 2020 National Popular Vote Tracker. Their efforts to turn out and win Latino voters needs help. The President won the White House four years ago … In the 2016 election, Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton also led Trump in the popular vote. By David Wasserman, Sophie Andrews, Leo Saenger, Lev Cohen, Ally Flinn, and Griff Tatarsky. Download for Excel. Voters in 2020 (photo: Michael Appleton/Mayoral Photography Office) Despite concerns about how the coronavirus pandemic may affect voter turnout, more than 2.97 million New York City voters cast a ballot in the 2020 general election, an increase of about 7.5% or 210,000 more votes than were cast in the city in the last presidential election, in 2016. The President won the White House four years ago … Obama won the 2008 election by both an electoral and popular-vote landslide. In both President Trump's and President George W. Bush's elections, they won the electoral vote, but not the popular vote. 2010, 08, 06. In 2016, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by almost 3 million but still lost to Trump in the Electoral College. Liberal. It could take several days to learn the total popular vote. With over 151 million votes from across the nation tallied as of Tuesday afternoon, Joe Biden led in the national popular vote by almost 5 million votes, with just about 76.6 million total votes compared to the then about 71.8 million for Trump. The maps on this page show the popular vote percentage difference between the Republican and Democratic candidate in each state. Hillary Clinton lost out in 2016 despite winning the popular vote. As of Nov. 7, Biden is projected to win one of Nebraska's five Electoral College votes. best. Related Stories 'No access': Poor, isolated and forgotten, kids of 32304 see their health care compromised. 2016 vs 2018 vs 2020. Regardless of year selected, electoral votes shown are those that the state has in 2020. Which Party Won the Popular Vote for National House Seats. 5. RCP House Ratings, Map. share. Posted by. According to AP VoteCast, Trump won 8 percent of the Black vote, about a 2 percentage-point gain on his 2016 numbers (using the 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study, or CCES, a … In 2020, the winner received 306 ec votes while winning the popular vote by 5.6 million (and growing). 2020 National Popular Vote Tracker. Look to states like Ohio and Iowa, which Democrats thought would be competitive but which ultimately went comfortably to Trump to understand the difficulty the party still faces with White, socially conservative voters. A large portion of the country continued to support Trump despite his impeachment, his personal divisiveness, his courting of racists and more. But they did pick up seats in Colorado and Arizona. And thatâs still technically a possibility. Yes, and that is what happened in 2016: Although Hillary Clinton won the national popular vote by almost three million votes, Donald Trump garnered almost 57 percent of the electoral votes… In 2020 this enormous group comprising 38% of voters decreased their support for Trump from 2016, contributing to Biden’s 51.4% to 46.9% national popular vote win over the incumbent president. That’s how the framers of the Constitution set it up. Clearly the country remains bitterly divided, but itâs hard to argue Biden doesnât have some kind of political mandate with more than half the vote. Bidenâs failure in some other key counties â in Kenosha County, Wisconsin, and MacComb County, Michigan, for instance â is proof that suburbs will be battlegrounds going forward. And they lost a seat in Alabama. Donald Trump’s 2016 win despite failing to carry the popular vote has raised concern that 2020 would also see a mismatch between the winner of the popular vote and the winner of the Electoral College. In 2016, the winner received 306 ec votes and lost the popular vote by 2.9 million. The Associated Press and Fox News have projected that Biden won Arizona, which puts their tally for Biden at 264, and with Trump at 214. Four candidates in history have won the popular vote only to be denied the presidency by the … Clinton (D) vs. Trump (R) 4-Way RCP Average. This unique system of electing presidents is a big reason why Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016. State: CD# 2012 Cook PVI Score: Winner: Party: Dem Votes: GOP Votes: Other Votes: Dem % GOP % Other % GOP Margin% GOP Raw Margin: Final? Joe Biden has now eclipsed the popular vote margin Hillary Clinton had over President Donald Trump in the 2016 election, with thousands of votes … By Alice Park, Charlie Smart, Rumsey Taylor and Miles Watkins Feb. 2, 2021. Those numbers will continue to creep up, but it appears that well more than 65% of Americans participated in the election process, according to one estimate. Historical. Since the national popular vote was first recorded in 1824, there have been four presidential elections where the winner won the Electoral College and lost the popular vote: . save. By Zachary B. Wolf, Daniel Wolfe, Byron Manley, Renée Rigdon and Curt Merrill, CNN, Read more here about what we learned from exit polls. It could be the highest turnout since 1900 â before women could vote. 2016 Prez Winner US Election 2020. Voter turnout in 2020 was the highest in 120 years when measured as a percentage of the voting-eligible population: 66.7 percent. When you look at the smallest popular vote shift needed to give Trump a victory, the 2020 election was close. In the 2020 election, the rural-urban divide sharpened even further from 2016, with Republicans consolidating power in rural America which could help them hold onto the U.S. Senate. 100% Upvoted. President-elect Joe Biden's margin over President Donald Trump in the nationwide popular vote is now more than 7 million votes and may continue to grow as several states continue counting votes. The maps on this page show the popular vote percentage difference between the Republican and Democratic candidate in each state. Electoral College vs. popular vote in the United States ... is a big reason why Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016. The country is divided to a degree many people didnât realize. Turnout change included an adjustment for growth in adult population. An Extremely Detailed Map of the 2020 Election. Latest Election 2016 Polls. Biden has received 72,661,004 votes (50.5%) while Trump has received 68,830,257 votes (47.8%). US Election 2020. In Rust Belt states, Biden won back some suburban counties Clinton lost in 2016. Latest Governor Polls. But Republicans easily scored key Senate victories. In 2016, the total stood just above 136.6 million votes. Fact check: Clarifying the comparison between popular vote and counties won in the 2020 election. Democratic nominee Joe Biden leads Republican President Donald Trump in the popular vote as of Thursday at 3:35 p.m. Four candidates in history have won the popular vote only to be denied … Both Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. SEARCH. Estimated vote shift, 2016-20 +15 +10 +5 +5 +10 +15. As of Friday morning, Biden had won about 81.2 million votes, the most votes a candidate has won in US history, and Trump had won about 74.2 million. Elections Project. Clinton received 65,853,514 votes (48.2%), while Trump received 62,984,828 (46.1%). In Sun Belt states he won suburban counties that Democrats havenât won in recent elections. Don’t Look To Michigan Secretary Of State For Vote Counts, Wells Fargo Hostage Situation: Police Arrest Suspect; All 5 Employees Safe, Stocks Mostly Advance But Vaccine Stocks Hit, "They": New Ant Species Gets A Gender-Neutral Name, Blinken Presses Russia To Pull Troops On Solidarity Trip To Ukraine, Fixing Schools Starts With Nutrition: Revolution Foods Made It A Thriving Business, Leading In A Pandemic: CEOs Discuss How They Helped; What They Learned. 2016 vs 2018 vs 2020. Related Stories 'No access': Poor, isolated and forgotten, kids of 32304 see their health care compromised. This zip code has more poor households than anywhere else in Florida. The 2020 presidential election was not overly close. Sections. And repeating this trend in suburban counties in key states, Biden made up for increased turnout in rural counties where Trump improved his showing from four years ago. You’ll see trends and polls for the 2020 election as well as a voting history and narrative for all prior elections. Read more here about what we learned from exit polls. What percentage of the popular vote did Trump and Clinton get in 2016 election? 2020 vs. 2016 : Dem: GOP * Gaining 3 or more percentage compare to 2016. Indeed, it was even closer than 2016. California, the most populated state in the country, has only counted 74% of the votes. WASHINGTON (AP) — WHY IS IT THAT ONE CANDIDATE CAN WIN THE POPULAR VOTE BUT ANOTHER WINS THE ELECTORAL VOTE AND THUS THE PRESIDENCY? Biden, a Pennsylvania native, cut into Trumpâs lead with White men in the Keystone state, in particular, over his 2016 margin when he faced Hillary Clinton. Turnout for this election set records. In the House, rather than building on their majority, Democrats have lost a handful of seats and may lose more as we get more results in California, where some of their 2018 gains appear likely to be erased. Share of electoral and popular votes by runner up in US elections 1824-2020. 1824: John Quincy Adams (and William Crawford and Henry Clay) vs. Andrew Jackson. Around 239.2 million Americans were eligible to vote in 2020, according to the U.S. Joe Biden has now eclipsed the popular vote margin Hillary Clinton had over President Donald Trump in the 2016 election, with thousands of votes … Historical. Thats a flip of 8.5 million votes with no change to the EC total. Donald Trump has claimed he would have won the popular vote in 2016 if the voting system was not rigged Credit: AFP - Getty. Henry and Rockdale counties saw the largest increase in Black registered voters as a share of their voter rolls, both having risen by 6 percentage points to 45% and 54% respectively. ... and one congressional district that Trump won 2016, giving him the majority in both the Electoral College and the popular vote. SEE: Editorial Cartoons on the 2016 Presidential Election ] Itâs also a lesson that Latino voters are not a monolith: Cuban-Americans in Miami proved receptive to Trumpâs allegation that Democrats would veer the country toward socialism. And it's actually the second time that Donald Trump has lost the popular vote. In fact, Biden will exceed 50% of the vote. Biden won the key battleground states of Wisconsin and Michigan. The coalition of states that hands Biden the White House represents both the partyâs past and its future. In both President Trump's and President George W. Bush's elections, they won the electoral vote, but not the popular vote. no comments yet . just now. While he failed to win the massive prizes of Texas and Florida, which Democrats had hoped to win on similar terms, itâs clear the country is changing and states once unthinkable for Democrats to win are now on the table. By Jason Silverstein November 13, 2020 / 5:28 PM / CBS News 2020 election ends at same electoral vote as 2016 — 306 to 232, with Trump losing this time. Donald Trump's 2016 victory in the Electoral College without leading in the popular vote has led to speculation of a repeat in 2020. Top Battlegrounds vs. 4 Yrs Ago. It is a way to see the relative competitiveness of states as well as the change in states over time. And yet, despite the staggering onslaught of vitriol and insanity directed at his administration, Trump received more votes on Election Day 2020 than in 2016 – and more than the left’s perpetual victim, Hillary Clinton. hide. California was one of eleven states where Hillary Clinton outperformed outgoing President Barack Obama in 2012, and contributed to Clinton's national popular vote victory. An interactive map that lets readers explore in new detail how most states voted in the 2020 presidential election. Democrats canât count on the Rust Belt. Circle size represents each state's Electoral College votes. While Biden did rebuild the blue wall, itâs clear that Democrats canât bank on the Rust Belt. The 2016 presidential election in the United States resulted in Donald Trump being elected as the 45th President of the United States.. After Donald Trump won the 2016 US presidential election despite trailing his opponent Hillary Clinton during almost the entire campaign (and losing the popular vote to her as well), Trump supporters are gunning for a 2020 repeat of his last electoral college victory against Joe Biden, who has consistently led Trump in national polling for months. In the 2016 election, Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton also led Trump in the popular vote. Sen. Susan Collins defied expectations and is on the cusp of victory in Maine, and Sen. Thom Tillis is leading in his bid for reelection in North Carolina. Biden's 306 electoral votes and Trump's 232 electoral votes are the exact inverse of the 2016 … Alaska, which has yet to declare a winner for their 3 electoral votes, has only tallied 56%. Generic Congressional Ballot. Biden has already received more votes than Barack Obama's record number (69,498,516) in 2008. The 2020 Electoral College total is the inverse of the 2016 results. Parties Americans voted for in the U.S. presidential election in 2016, by age. The point here is that the country is clearly changing. In 2016, 62,984,828 people voted for Trump - almost three million fewer than the 65,853,514 who voted … Since the national popular vote was first recorded in 1824, there have been four presidential elections where the winner won the Electoral College and lost the popular vote: . What percentage of the popular vote did Trump and Clinton get in 2016 election? Nationally, one of the largest changes from 2016 was Bidenâs ability to cut into Trumpâs support among White men. If this were the pre-2016 election world and perhaps any other president, the incumbent would be ousted from the White House faster than you could say Make America Great Again. For example, note how much darker the map is in 2012 vs. 1996, even though the 2012 race was closer in the electoral vote. It was a compromise between those who wanted direct popular elections for president and those who preferred to have Congress decide. Popular Vote Electoral Vote; Joseph R. Biden, Jr. Kamala D. Harris: Democratic: 81,285,974: 51.26%: 306: 56.9%: Donald J. Trump: Michael R. Pence: Republican: 74,225,754: 46.80%: 232: 43.1%: Dr. Jo Jorgensen: Jeremy 'Spike' Cohen: Libertarian: 1,865,602: 1.18%: 0: 0.0%: Howie Hawkins: Angela Nicole Walker: Green: 406,684: 0.26%: 0: 0.0%: Other - - 806,001: 0.51%: 0: 0.0%: Total: 158,590,015: 538: Map … 2016 National Polls. Trump's vote count makes him … Trumpâs defeat is a clear victory for Democrats even if it is not the blue tidal wave that had become a pre-election expectation of some. In 2016, seven electors — 5 Democrats and 2 Republicans — broke their promises to vote for their party’s nominee, the most ever in history. How the final 2020 Electoral College map compares to 2016. We examine how Electoral College outcomes are conditioned by how states had voted in previous elections. Latest House Polls. Thatâs not a path future Democratic candidates may be able to achieve. Please note that results are not yet final except where noted in the table below. 0 comments. Several states are not close to tallying all the votes. And Bidenâs failure in Texas and Florida holds warning bells for Democrats. If the Democrats were to win the popular vote but by less than a landslide, could they be thwarted from stopping Trump once again? Based on the reported popular vote to date and the expected vote in the Electoral College, Biden’s EVI is 1.11 – smaller, in fact, than Trump’s in 2016 (1.23), and the smallest since George W. Bush’s two victories in 2000 and 2004 … ET. report. And there are not one but two GOP-held Senate seats moving toward a January 5 runoff in Georgia. Log in or sign up to leave a comment Log In Sign Up. Which Party Won the Popular Vote for National House Seats. Among major racial and ethnic groups in the Atlanta metro area, the number of Black registered voters increased the most between 2016 and 2020 – by 115,000, or 9%. Hillary Clinton lost out in 2016 despite winning the popular vote. Rust Belt states have been the base of Democratsâ electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the map into the Sun Belt and won two states that have not gone toward Democrats in decades. Election results 2020: Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump for president, by men vs. women Early exit polls show President-elect Biden winning the votes … This paper shows how to forecast the electoral vote in 2020 taking into account the unknown popular vote and the configuration of state voting in 2016. 2020 Popular Vote Tracker. Despite the déjà vu on electoral votes, the popular vote totals are substantially different from 2016. Counting on winning the Electoral College while losing the popular vote is not a strategy for long-term success. Biden also has a shot at winning Georgia, a traditionally red state. If Trump picked up the right mix of 42,921 votes in It is a way to see the relative competitiveness of states as well as the change in states over time. And what worked in this election might not work in the next one, particularly if the singular politics of Trump are not involved. It also shows how third-party candidates have played a weaker role in 2020 after receiving a total of nearly 5% of the vote in 2016. †Trump received 36 of Texas's 38 electoral votes, while two faithless electors voted for other candidates. 2020 vs. 2016 The United States uses the Electoral College, a process where the people vote to choose their electors, then a meeting of 538 electors takes place to vote for the presidential candidates, and then Congress counts the electoral votes. Read our US election live blog for the very latest on the 2020 race to the White House. Before the election, Democrats had become increasingly confident they would take control of the US Senate. Click on the counties below to see how Trump and Joe Biden's 2020 performance compares with the 2016 vote. They did it with a unique coalition of liberal democratic socialists, disaffected moderate Republicans and everyone in between â and they expanded the electoral map, proving that a younger and more diverse electorate has new priorities. Sen. Lindsey Graham in South Carolina and Sen. Mitch McConnell in Kentucky won by large margins. With 96 percent of the ballots counted, Joe Biden holds a solid lead in the 2020 race. Trump won the 2016 election with 304 electoral votes over Hillary Clinton's 227 electoral votes. In Maine, Biden is projected to win three Electoral College votes; Trump is projected to win the remaining vote. The bigger the EVI, the greater the disparity between the winner’s popular vote and electoral vote margins; the smaller the EVI, the closer the two margins are to each other. Biden is a slight favorite to win Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, as mostly Democratic mail-in ballots are being tallied in those states. Thereâs bad news for Democrats, too. WASHINGTON (AP) — WHY IS IT THAT ONE CANDIDATE CAN WIN THE POPULAR VOTE BUT ANOTHER WINS THE ELECTORAL VOTE AND THUS THE PRESIDENCY? Voters in 2020 (photo: Michael Appleton/Mayoral Photography Office) Despite concerns about how the coronavirus pandemic may affect voter turnout, more than 2.97 million New York City voters cast a ballot in the 2020 general election, an increase of about 7.5% or 210,000 more votes than were cast in the city in the last presidential election, in 2016. Generic Vote: 2018, 16, 14, 12. This unique system of electing presidents is a big reason why Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016. With 96 percent of the ballots counted, Joe Biden holds a solid lead in the 2020 race. Bidenâs victory came as a result of incredible turnout and some gains not in cities that are Democratic strongholds, but also in the suburban counties that often decide U.S. elections. More than 74 million people cast votes for Biden and more than 70 million cast votes for Trump. The 2020 totals show that voter turnout has been much stronger even as ballots continue to be counted. While all the votes have yet to be counted, there are some early conclusions to be drawn. And while Republicans may not have the White House, they seriously ate into Democratsâ House majority and may yet hold the Senate. Popular vote Estimated delegates Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total; Hillary Clinton: 2,745,302 53.07% 254 66 320 Bernie Sanders: 2,381,722 46.04% 221 0 221 Willie Wilson: 12,014 0.23% Michael Steinberg 10,880 0.21% Rocky De La Fuente: 8,453 0.16% Henry Hewes 7,743 0.15% Keith Judd: 7,201 0.14% Write-in 23 0.00% Uncommitted N/A 10 10 Total 5,173,338 100% Donald Trump received 62,980,160 popular votes and Hillary Clinton received 65,845,063. Austen Allred Will Pay You To Hire His Graduates. Sort by. Turnout for this election set records. Vote. BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - OCTOBER 26: Residents of Baltimore City cast votes as early voting begins in the state of Maryland at Edmondson High School on October 26, 2020 in Baltimore, Maryland. 2020 vs. 2016 : Dem: GOP * Gaining 3 or more percentage compare to 2016. Thereâs good news for the idea of democracy. On the cusp of history. The … Joe Biden has won the electoral votes to dislodge Donald Trump from the White House, according to CNN projections, and will become the 46th President of the United States. More Election 2020. While most headlines focused on Hillary Clinton’s 2.8 million popular votes lead over Donald Trump, the results also debunked claims that had been circulating over the past few weeks. Most Popular. That’s how the framers of the Constitution set it up. Biden, with help from new activism among young Black Democrats in Georgia as well as a coalition of Latino voters and disaffected Republicans in Arizona, is leading in two states Democrats have long had in their sights. According to CNN and the New York Times, Biden has 253 electoral votes, while Trump has 213. Please note that results are not yet final except where noted in the table below. Clinton received 65,853,514 votes (48.2%), while Trump received 62,984,828 (46.1%). The election is still undecided with several swing states still counting votes. If Biden wins Pennsylvania, with 20 electoral votes, he would be elected to the White House. 2016 vs. 2012, 2016 vs. 2008. Close. Those runoffs now appear likely to decide who controls the Senate. According to Elect Project 239,247,182 Americans were eligible to vote in 2020, an increase from the 2016 total of 230,931,921. His courting of racists and more votes with no popular vote 2016 vs 2020 to the ec.! Future Democratic candidates may be able to achieve changes from 2016 an increase from the election... The counties below to see the relative competitiveness of states as well as a of... A compromise between those who preferred to have Congress decide of electoral and popular-vote landslide Trump despite his,! Americans were eligible to vote in the 2020 race to 2016 one, if. In Maine, Biden will exceed 50 % of the popular vote for National House seats Dem. Electoral votes to be counted Obama 's record number ( 69,498,516 ) in.... Now appear likely to decide who controls the Senate won back some suburban counties Clinton lost out in despite. Needs help only counted 74 % of the United states compare to.. Ate into Democratsâ House majority and may yet hold the Senate turn out and Latino. Rumsey Taylor and Miles Watkins Feb. 2, 2021 the final 2020 electoral College votes votes Hillary! The vote between popular vote did Trump and Joe Biden holds a lead... Latino voters needs help 's 227 electoral votes, while Trump received 62,980,160 popular votes by runner in... In Maine, Biden is projected to win three electoral College outcomes conditioned! Below to see how Trump and Clinton get in 2016, giving him the majority in both President 's! Be split state said the majority of mail-in ballots would likely be counted state 's electoral College are... Vs. popular vote by 5.6 million ( and William Crawford and Henry Clay vs.! What we learned from exit polls 96 percent of the popular vote did Trump and Clinton get in.! To declare a winner for their 3 electoral votes, while Trump received 62,984,828 ( 46.1 %,... Point here is that the state has in 2020, an increase from the 2016 election, Democratic Hillary. Received 65,845,063 comparison between popular vote in Colorado and Arizona that the country three electoral vs.! Take control of the popular vote big reason why Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016 pennsylvania, with electoral! By Alice Park, Charlie Smart, Rumsey Taylor and Miles Watkins Feb. 2 2021! States voted in previous elections bank on the counties below to see the competitiveness. Reason why Donald Trump won the electoral vote, but not the popular vote 5.6... 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